Prediction of Daniel Michalski vs Gianluca Cadenasso at Montemar Challenger 11-18-25
Wojtek Kolan
Published on 18 Nov at 02:49 AM UTC
HEAD TO HEAD
D. Michalski vs G. Cadenasso

POL
1
Win
Played
0
Win

ITA
1
Win
Played
0
Win
D. Michalski Vs G. Cadenasso Picks
Based on the implied probability from the match winner, Daniel Michalski has a 57.74% chance to get the victory.
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| Match | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
|---|---|---|
| D. Michalski | 57.74% | 1.61 |
| G. Cadenasso | 42.26% | 2.2 |
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| Market | Bookie Prediction | Bookie Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 19 | 73.53% | 1.36 |
| Over 20 | 73.53% | 1.36 |
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Head-to-head: Michalski 1 - 0 Cadenasso
Across their encounters, a total of two sets have been contested, both won by Daniel Michalski, while Gianluca Cadenasso has yet to secure a set. Their most recent confrontation occurred during the semifinals of the M25 event in Santa Margherita di Pula on October 3, 2025, played on clay, where Michalski triumphed with a scoreline of 6-3, 6-1.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Michalski | 1 |
| Cadenasso | 0 |
Last 1 H2H Matches:
(SF) M25 Santa Margherita di Pula(10-03-25)
D. Michalski Vs G. Cadenasso Best Odds
1x2
Games O/U
D. Michalski vs G. Cadenasso H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $0 | Career Prize Money | $0 |
| 62.91% (290-171) | Career Total W/L | 65.41% (121-64) |
| 1 | Clay | 0 |
| 15 | Titles | 4 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 0 |
| 0% (0-0) | YTD Win/Loss | 0% (0-0) |
D. Michalski vs G. Cadenasso Match Preview:
- Second serve effectiveness favors Daniel Michalski slightly, winning 41.47% of second serve points compared to Gianluca Cadenasso's 40.73% over the last six months.
- Gianluca Cadenasso demonstrates stronger return abilities, especially on first serves, securing 31.68% of points compared to Daniel Michalski's 25.37%.
- When under pressure, Gianluca Cadenasso proves more resilient, saving 48.01% of breakpoints versus Daniel Michalski's 44.03%.
- Their overall match win rates over the past year are quite similar, with Cadenasso at 66.67% and Michalski at 64.56%.
- Both players excel on different surfaces; Michalski on clay with a 66% win rate and Cadenasso on hard courts also at 66%.
- Daniel Michalski boasts a perfect head-to-head record against Gianluca Cadenasso, leading their encounters 1-0 in matches and 2-0 in sets.
- Match duration tends to average 1:27:25 when Michalski and Cadenasso face off.
- Cadenasso has faced slightly lower-ranked opponents on average, with his opponents ranked at 441.12 compared to Michalski’s 385.33.
- Both players are equally adept in deciding sets, each with a win rate of 76% over the last year.
- Break point conversion recent stats give Cadenasso a slight edge, converting 37.86%, whereas Michalski stands at 35.56%.
Editorial Prediction (November 18, 2025, UTC):
The upcoming match between Daniel Michalski and Gianluca Cadenasso promises to be competitive, with both players displaying distinct strengths.
Michalski has a slight advantage in second serve performance but faces a formidable opponent in Cadenasso, who excels in return games.
While Cadenasso demonstrates superior breakpoint saving abilities, Michalski's head-to-head record and comfort on clay could play a significant role.
Considering these aspects, the match appears closely contested; however, Michalski's past success against Cadenasso and his strength on clay could see him emerging as the likely winner.
Daniel Michalski vs Gianluca Cadenasso Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
D. Michalski vs G. Cadenasso H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 0 |
| 2 | Sets Won | 0 |
| 12 | Games Won | 4 |
| 2 | Aces (Total) | 0 |
| 0 | Total Double Faults | 1 |
| 1:27:25 | Average Match Time | 1:27:25 |
| 64% (29/45) | 1st Serve % | 71% (39/55) |
| 79% (23/29) | 1st Serve Win % | 59% (23/39) |
| 69% (11/16) | 2nd Serve Win % | 19% (3/16) |
| 57% (4/7) | Break Pts Won % | 0% (0/2) |
| 53% (29/55) | Return Points Win % | 24% (11/45) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
D. Michalski Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SF | L | 6-3 ret. | ||
QF | W | 7-5 3-6 6-2 | ||
R2 | W | 6-3 6-4 | ||
R1 | W | 6-1 6-4 | ||
F | L | 7-6(5) 7-5 | ||
G. Cadenasso Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Q3 | W | 6-4 6-1 | ||
Q1 | W | 6-3 6-7(2) 6-1 | ||
R2 | L | 7-6(4) 6-3 | ||
R1 | W | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | ||
F | W | 5-5 ret. | ||
Where To Watch Michalski vs Cadenasso?
When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Michalski Vs Cadenasso is now available here.

D. Michalski vs G. Cadenasso Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 65.63% (252/132) | YTD Win/Loss | 65.10% (97/52) |
| 62.33% (546/330) | Sets Win/Loss | 61.14% (203/129) |
| 54.97% (4382/3589) | Games Win/Loss | 54.79% (1683/1389) |
| 0.13 | Aces Per Game | 0.11 |
| 499 | Aces Total | 172 |
| 0.19 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.28 |
| 752 | Total Double Faults | 414 |
| 1:50:59 | Average Match Time | 1:36:48 |
| 513.19 | Average Opponent Rank | 432.83 |
| 60% (15027/25034) | 1st Serve % | 61% (5538/9011) |
| 65% (9762/15027) | 1st Serve Win % | 64% (3559/5538) |
| 52% (5212/10007) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (1726/3473) |
| 49% (1523/3132) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 48% (536/1115) |
| 45% (11536/25532) | Return Points Win % | 45% (4025/8903) |
| 66% (248/377) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 66% (95/145) |
| 70% (54/77) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 67% (18/27) |
| 60% (69/115) | Deciding Set Win % | 69% (27/39) |
| 90% (243/218) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 92% (89/82) |
| 10% (243/24) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 8% (89/7) |
| 23% (141/33) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (59/14) |
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